Conventional-Blowhole
0x5da4f019a8f784b3f40567f6811519bc1981ffc5
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
25
Open notional
$19.75
Total PnL
$-20.10
Realised
$0.16
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.00
$0.00
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
40 shares @ 10.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.80
$-0.20
- YES
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.93
$0.93
- YES
Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?
25 shares @ 8.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$1.88
$-0.13
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
175 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.66
$-0.34
- OVER
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5
2 shares @ 44.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$1.33
$0.33
- YES
XRP all time high by June 30, 2026?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.13
$0.13
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10 shares @ 10.1¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- YES
Will Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026?
151 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$0.61
$-0.39
- YES
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.58
$-0.42
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYQatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5$1.02Jun 13, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5$1.02Jun 13, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$5.10Jun 13, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$4.14Jun 13, 00:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBrazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 0.5$0.71Jun 12, 17:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$1.39Jun 11, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$1.06Jun 11, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$1.02Jun 11, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 0.5$1.02Jun 11, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?$1.04Jun 11, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 16?$1.06Jun 11, 18:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$0.00Jun 11, 18:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$1.33Jun 11, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$1.04Jun 11, 18:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$1.37Jun 11, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$1.02Jun 11, 18:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?$1.60Jun 11, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?$2.08Jun 11, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$1.04Jun 11, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026?$1.04Jun 11, 17:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $1.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 2, 21:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 16:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.