0x5e0dbb94961aa80928751a0b707a563337419ae6
0x5e0dbb94961aa80928751a0b707a563337419ae6
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$244.21
Total PnL
$-60.24
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
44 shares @ 56.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$39.82
$15.18
- NO
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?
40 shares @ 63.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$27.40
$2.20
- NO
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
23 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$23.00
$8.28
- NO
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
23 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$23.00
$8.05
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
23 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$23.00
$8.05
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
20 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$19.99
$5.40
- NO
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
19 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$19.00
$4.18
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
18 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$18.00
$8.10
- NO
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?
18 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$18.00
$3.60
- NO
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?
17 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$17.00
$7.31
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?$9.69Mar 22, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?$14.40Mar 22, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$14.95Mar 21, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$11.16Mar 21, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$6.40Mar 21, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$2.70Mar 21, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$8.42Mar 21, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$0.73Mar 21, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 31?$5.06Mar 21, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?$9.90Mar 21, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$13.09Mar 21, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$1.86Mar 21, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 31?$4.60Mar 21, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?$9.84Mar 21, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?$14.63Mar 21, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?$13.80Mar 21, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$14.72Mar 21, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?$9.60Mar 21, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?$14.29Mar 21, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?$25.20Mar 5, 19:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $12.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 27, 20:19 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 22, 07:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.