Zany-Down
0x5e0f19bd7a30e9f4460f4d8cb651c75304f2c18c
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
128
Open notional
$32.08
Total PnL
$-2.8K
Realised
$216.18
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 128- NO
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?
519 shares @ 4.8¢·now 6.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$31.94
$6.94
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?
279 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.14
$-9.86
- YES
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4800 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-24.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?
3000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
2000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2000 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?
1800 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
1500 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-17.93
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
1500 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-10.48
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill CA Rosario Central win on 2026-07-28?$51.80Jul 28, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYFC Botoşani vs. FC Rapid 1923: O/U 1.5$15.50Jul 27, 18:41 UTC
- TRADESELLSepsi OSK vs. FC Universitatea Cluj: O/U 1.5$103.11Jul 26, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYSepsi OSK vs. FC Universitatea Cluj: O/U 1.5$33.10Jul 26, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYRomanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?$25.95Jul 26, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$15.81Jul 25, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?$10.58Jul 25, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC UTA Arad win on 2026-07-25?$11.42Jul 24, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC UTA Arad win on 2026-07-25?$66.79Jul 23, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$15.70Jul 23, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$10.49Jul 23, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?$102.95Jul 19, 21:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?$207.32Jul 19, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?$24.90Jul 19, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?$10.47Jul 19, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?$68.25Jul 19, 15:55 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$13.77Jul 17, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$10.59Jul 17, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$10.59Jul 17, 19:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
14/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $34.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 9, 19:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 19:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.