Clever-Election
0x5e43c2453d3cdced42fe0f5033ae1d36887014dc
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$123.81
Total PnL
$-80.95
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?
535 shares @ 30.6¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$82.94
$-81.04
- YES
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
118 shares @ 31.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$39.44
$2.94
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?
14 shares @ 16.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.43
$-0.85
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C on May 9?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Alfonso López Chau win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?
148 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$36.50Jul 18, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?$2.36Jun 15, 10:59 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$2.04Jun 15, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$17.40Jun 5, 05:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?$17.72Jun 5, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?$1.00May 14, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C on May 9?$1.05May 8, 14:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?$0.00May 8, 11:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?$0.00May 8, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?$28.13May 5, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?$1.49May 4, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?$1.57May 4, 11:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?$405.84May 4, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?$8.64May 3, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?$49.78May 3, 06:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?$54.76Apr 23, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?$51.84Apr 14, 09:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 12?$0.00Apr 13, 05:19 UTC
- REDEEMIndian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Royal Challengers Bangalore$0.00Apr 13, 05:19 UTC
- REDEEMMilitary action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?$0.00Apr 13, 05:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $25.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 31, 16:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 18, 12:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.