Kindly-Sick
0x5e6a6251f4a1dd6e0177fb73edb0f7f6e110521c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
46
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- NO
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 50% in February?
35444 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-54.97
- YES
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
13706 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-77.12
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by November 30?
2406 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-91.00
- YES
Another US military action against Iran before 2026?
2124 shares @ 18.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-400.00
- YES
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?
2097 shares @ 19.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-400.00
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by October 31?
1184 shares @ 25.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?
980 shares @ 29.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-293.41
- YES
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?
843 shares @ 11.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by March 31?
698 shares @ 27.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-190.00
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31?
655 shares @ 46.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-303.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 22, 2026?$103.08Jun 22, 03:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$13.21Jun 22, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYMakerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?$301.63Jun 18, 19:46 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$302.74Jun 18, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$80.20Jun 18, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$202.71May 11, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYOdds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 50% in February?$45.00Feb 28, 16:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$238.67Feb 28, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYOdds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 50% in February?$5.00Feb 28, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYOdds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 50% in February?$5.00Feb 28, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$142.00Jan 14, 20:01 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by January 31?$131.89Jan 14, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by January 31?$120.00Jan 13, 16:12 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?$229.27Jan 13, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Mexico by January 31?$2.00Jan 7, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by March 31?$190.00Jan 7, 19:14 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$183.80Jan 6, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$170.00Jan 5, 15:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?$177.47Jan 5, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?$116.22Jan 3, 06:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $72.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 11, 04:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 22, 03:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.