Pure-Threat
0x5ecde7348ea5100af4360dd7a6e0a3fb1d420787
Wallet digest
Activity score
96/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
87
Open notional
$91.0K
Total PnL
$21.0K
Realised
$3.7K
Win rate
70%
23 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 87- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
50000 shares @ 42.9¢·now 76.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$38.3K
$16.8K
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
20000 shares @ 72.1¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.1K
$3.7K
- NO
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
9500 shares @ 80.4¢·now 89.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.5K
$834.26
- NO
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
8278 shares @ 60.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$5.5K
$537.89
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?
2714 shares @ 5.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$2.7K
$2.6K
- NO
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
2096 shares @ 55.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.1K
$937.39
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?
4000 shares @ 73.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$1.9K
$-1.0K
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?
5000 shares @ 64.2¢·now 37.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$1.9K
$-1.3K
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?
6999 shares @ 52.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$1.9K
$-1.8K
- NO
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?
1615 shares @ 80.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.6K
$313.29
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.19Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.19Jul 28, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.19Jul 27, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.19Jul 26, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.19Jul 25, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.20Jul 24, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.24Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.18Jul 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.18Jul 21, 20:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.18Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.18Jul 19, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.18Jul 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.18Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.18Jul 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.18Jul 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.18Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jul 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jul 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jul 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jul 10, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
45/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
70% win rate over 23 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
23 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 00:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 23 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.