Worrisome-Flare
0x5f017ad075cbf10cb3c9ee71a89398374c835688
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$25.51
Total PnL
$-11.49
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
15 shares @ 67.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$9.33
$-0.67
- NO
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.24
$5.24
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
14 shares @ 22.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.39
$-0.61
- YES
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
5 shares @ 43.0¢·now 45.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.09
$0.09
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
9 shares @ 23.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.96
$-0.04
- YES
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
59 shares @ 1.7¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11 shares @ 8.7¢·now 8.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11 shares @ 9.2¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.90
$-0.10
- YES
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?
9 shares @ 10.9¢·now 6.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.55
$-0.45
- YES
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
51 shares @ 19.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.03
$-9.97
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Paloma Valencia win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.00Jun 5, 03:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.00May 30, 22:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$0.00May 30, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31?$1.04May 22, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$2.00May 20, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$2.00May 20, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYEx-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?$1.00May 20, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03May 15, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03May 15, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03May 15, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.02May 15, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.04May 15, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.03May 15, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$10.32May 15, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House$3.09May 15, 04:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill CD win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?$0.00May 15, 04:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?$0.00May 15, 04:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$0.00May 15, 04:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?$0.00May 15, 04:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$0.00May 15, 04:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $14.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 8, 04:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 03:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".