Trivial-Thirst
0x5f0dadc186ab6676d3a2ab287f115e9b87b184d3
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$7.78
Total PnL
$-9.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
2 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.15
$0.02
- NO
Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?
1 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.39
$0.03
- NO
Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.08
$0.00
- NO
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.08
$0.01
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.05
$0.00
- NO
DOJ reopens Powell investigation by May 15?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.03
$0.00
- NO
Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?
6 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$0.00
$-2.03
- YES
Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek V3.1 Chat win the NOF1.ai competition?
5 shares @ 79.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-3.75
- NO
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
2 shares @ 45.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.04
- NO
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.24
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on July 11?$1.09Jul 11, 19:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 11?$1.08Jul 11, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 11?$1.06Jul 11, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on July 11?$1.08Jul 11, 03:01 UTC
- REDEEMMeek Mill gets Y Combinator funding by June 30?$1.17Jul 2, 06:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 29?$1.15Jun 29, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYMeek Mill gets Y Combinator funding by June 30?$1.16Jun 29, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 29?$1.15Jun 29, 03:56 UTC
- REDEEMTrump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?$2.16Jun 16, 12:50 UTC
- REDEEMAnother GTA VI trailer released by June 15?$1.32Jun 16, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?$1.07Jun 14, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?$1.06Jun 14, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother GTA VI trailer released by June 15?$1.29Jun 14, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$2.13May 30, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYDOJ reopens Powell investigation by May 15?$1.03May 9, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$1.05Apr 30, 06:09 UTC
- REDEEMNuclear weapon detonation in 2025?$1.46Apr 29, 07:50 UTC
- REDEEMCrude Oil all time high by March 31?$1.46Apr 29, 07:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Vance visit the Middle East by March 31?$1.47Apr 29, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30?$1.07Apr 29, 07:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $4.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 17, 02:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 11, 19:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.