United-Field
0x5f176a980de5b25f89f17473e5e8adef565c519e
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$104.5K
Total PnL
$-27.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
36592 shares @ 61.4¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$33.8K
$11.4K
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
39361 shares @ 63.5¢·now 55.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.8K
$-3.2K
- NO
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?
17809 shares @ 95.5¢·now 96.1¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$17.1K
$114.55
- NO
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?
11765 shares @ 85.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$10.3K
$294.12
- NO
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
10638 shares @ 94.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$9.9K
$-53.18
- NO
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?
4263 shares @ 75.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.0K
$786.18
- NO
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
3949 shares @ 78.5¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.7K
$572.68
- NO
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?
2289 shares @ 56.8¢·now 90.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.1K
$759.95
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?
1799 shares @ 94.5¢·now 93.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$1.7K
$-26.52
- NO
Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-07-29?
25 shares @ 80.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$20.13
$0.13
Recent activity
- YIELD$3.01Jul 29, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?$10.0KJul 28, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?$10.0KJul 28, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aarhus GF win on 2026-07-29?$10.10Jul 28, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$5.0KJul 28, 15:01 UTC
- YIELD$2.99Jul 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$2.98Jul 27, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?$1.7KJul 26, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?$17.0KJul 26, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aarhus GF win on 2026-07-29?$10.10Jul 26, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$5.0KJul 26, 15:44 UTC
- YIELD$2.98Jul 26, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$2.99Jul 25, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$2.95Jul 24, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$2.92Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$2.92Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$2.92Jul 21, 20:11 UTC
- YIELD$2.92Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$19.4KJul 20, 14:48 UTC
- YIELD$2.90Jul 19, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$77.3K
Trades
1
Buy share
81%
Window
May 20, 18:50 UTC → Jun 11, 13:47 UTC
- BUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?$17.5K@95¢May 20, 18:47 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
81%
Sample
limited
5 ledger trades
Top market concentration
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
$26.8K · 35% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $9.0K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 5, 13:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.