Dry-Jackfruit
0x5f3b0fb7aabb5d04ba1d6cdcc6d2166ee1a5ae54
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$35.27
Total PnL
$-1.28
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
35 shares @ 50.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$20.26
$2.63
- NO
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
35 shares @ 50.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$15.01
$-2.63
- YES
Will Laura Evans win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?
1280 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.28
Recent activity
- SPLITWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$35.27Aug 3, 06:17 UTC
- MERGEUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?$35.30Aug 2, 19:12 UTC
- SPLITUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?$35.30Aug 2, 06:34 UTC
- MERGEWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$34.65Jul 17, 07:33 UTC
- SPLITWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$34.65Jul 16, 19:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.00Jul 15, 14:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q2 2026$36.27Jul 15, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Laura Evans win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?$1.33Jul 1, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q2 2026$36.16Jun 29, 00:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Enrique Peñalosa win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.00Jun 27, 22:18 UTC
- MERGEWill Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$36.16Jun 26, 13:57 UTC
- SPLITWill Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$36.16Jun 26, 00:42 UTC
- MERGEWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$36.44Jun 8, 13:42 UTC
- SPLITWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$36.44Jun 8, 01:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?$35.85Jun 1, 10:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Imperium Europa win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?$0.00May 31, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?$35.30May 26, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Imperium Europa win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?$2.05May 24, 23:20 UTC
- MERGEWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?$37.80May 22, 14:25 UTC
- SPLITWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?$37.80May 22, 03:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
18 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $10.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 7, 08:09 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 3, 06:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.