Lustrous-Bachelor
0x5f57dcc67390381a480c0f735831279d22bdfd0e
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$4.5K
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?
700 shares @ 74.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$630.00
$112.00
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
645 shares @ 92.0¢·now 96.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$624.04
$30.64
- NO
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?
660 shares @ 81.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$623.69
$89.10
- NO
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
893 shares @ 56.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$593.84
$93.76
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?
1000 shares @ 52.0¢·now 56.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$561.91
$41.99
- NO
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
590 shares @ 86.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$545.75
$38.35
- NO
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$455.00
$-45.00
- NO
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
500 shares @ 91.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$432.49
$-22.50
- NO
Weed rescheduled by December 31?
5 shares @ 64.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$3.28
$0.38
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
1100 shares @ 45.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-503.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.15Aug 9, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Aug 8, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Aug 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Aug 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Aug 5, 02:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Aug 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Aug 3, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Aug 2, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMRomanian parliament dissolved by July 31?$610.00Aug 1, 09:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Aug 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 31, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 30, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 26, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 25, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 24, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
2 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $21.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 29, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 9, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.