Flamboyant-Seller
0x5f59807b04d6f89deb9b25caa3b5444469c1a956
Wallet digest
Activity score
36/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$4.55
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$-137.13
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
424 shares @ 23.5¢·now 0.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.76
$-97.24
- YES
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
447 shares @ 22.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.79
$-98.21
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?
332 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-195.80
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 13?
258 shares @ 77.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 8?
250 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?
248 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-208.61
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
241 shares @ 82.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- OVER
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 6.5 Total Corners
222 shares @ 79.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-175.37
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 8?
182 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 12?
179 shares @ 95.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-170.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMCanada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance AND Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 AND Will France win on 2026-07-04?$824.42Jul 5, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance AND Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 AND Will France win on 2026-07-04?$300.00Jul 4, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYColombia vs. Ghana: O/U 6.5 Total Corners$176.48Jul 3, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Argentina (-1.5) AND Colombia vs. Ghana: Team to Advance$299.99Jul 3, 09:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$232.83Jun 30, 23:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lautaro Martínez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$165.16Jun 28, 04:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$61.11Jun 28, 02:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Croatia win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$231.76Jun 28, 02:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ghana win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$222.00Jun 28, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lautaro Martínez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$132.92Jun 22, 07:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?$132.88Jun 20, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?$78.04Jun 20, 05:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Czechia win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$78.00Jun 19, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$181.97Jun 2, 03:33 UTC
- REDEEMUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$182.00Jun 1, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$62.01May 20, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ghana win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$209.49May 20, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$44.37May 20, 05:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$126.23May 20, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?$146.18May 11, 00:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
13/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
22 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $137.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 25, 06:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 5, 22:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.