Offbeat-Pole
0x5f8ec8b9c07547d93ac7206ef75c1b625e6021b7
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$228.2K
Total PnL
$-24.5K
Realised
$-24.0K
Win rate
7%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?
117067 shares @ 98.4¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$116.7K
$1.5K
- NO
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
70297 shares @ 98.8¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$70.0K
$494.96
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
21302 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$21.2K
$74.58
- NO
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
11732 shares @ 98.9¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$11.7K
$83.55
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
6677 shares @ 84.1¢·now 82.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$5.5K
$-107.98
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
6677 shares @ 15.6¢·now 17.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.2K
$125.83
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
191308 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$478.27
$-1.9K
- YES
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?
424 shares @ 49.9¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$417.85
$206.20
- YES
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?
550 shares @ 44.2¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$349.31
$106.11
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
190158 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$285.24
$-437.74
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.60Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
- MERGEWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$400.00Jun 12, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?$398.90Jun 12, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$1.68Jun 12, 16:12 UTC
- MERGEWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$2.8KJun 12, 00:40 UTC
- MERGEWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$2.0KJun 12, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$8.40Jun 12, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?$2.0KJun 12, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?$1.5KJun 12, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$4.72Jun 12, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.60Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- MERGEWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$355.73Jun 11, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$1.57Jun 11, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?$298.92Jun 11, 19:14 UTC
- MERGEWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$250.00Jun 11, 15:37 UTC
- MERGEWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$250.00Jun 11, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$2.10Jun 11, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$247.86Jun 11, 15:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?$0.05Jun 11, 15:02 UTC
- MERGEWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$2.2KJun 11, 14:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $270.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 13:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.