0x600a3a080e7975a36c74bc7395d9e9a12e45b226
0x600a3a080e7975a36c74bc7395d9e9a12e45b226
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-45.62
Realised
$-1.71
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
970 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
- YES
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres
970 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
- TEXAS RANGERS
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
970 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
86 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-03-22?
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?
8 shares @ 63.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?
7 shares @ 72.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?
6 shares @ 17.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$25.00Apr 14, 21:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.85Apr 14, 11:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?$4.74Apr 14, 11:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$21.29Apr 14, 11:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.27Apr 14, 11:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.36Apr 14, 11:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?$3.24Apr 14, 00:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?$0.07Apr 12, 22:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?$1.69Apr 12, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?$1.00Apr 12, 21:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament?$0.33Apr 12, 21:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Patrick Reed win the 2026 Masters tournament?$0.23Apr 11, 22:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?$0.10Apr 11, 22:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?$1.68Apr 11, 21:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Patrick Reed win the 2026 Masters tournament?$0.54Apr 11, 21:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 Masters tournament?$0.30Apr 11, 21:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?$2.08Apr 11, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$3.00Apr 11, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?$1.00Apr 11, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament?$2.00Apr 11, 11:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $4.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 19, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 14, 21:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.