Suburban-Dump
0x605aaf33e4f24e05af1758984e9c193783a5bc6f
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$7.39
Total PnL
$-52.23
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
5 shares @ 44.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.07
$0.07
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
19 shares @ 5.4¢·now 10.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.92
$0.92
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
7 shares @ 14.2¢·now 12.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.88
$-0.12
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
20 shares @ 9.9¢·now 3.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.79
$-1.21
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
6 shares @ 16.7¢·now 10.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.62
$-0.38
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: Other
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.4¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.56
$-0.44
- YES
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
3 shares @ 31.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.34
$-0.66
- YES
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 2.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.15
$-0.85
- YES
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.07
$-0.93
- YES
Trump posts himself as Jesus again in April?
220 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-9.62
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-18?$1.02Jul 16, 08:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.03Jul 16, 08:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026?$7.13Jul 15, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.02Jul 7, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.02Jul 7, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.02Jul 7, 02:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$5.34Jul 6, 03:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,100 by end of June?$2.67Jul 1, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 30, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?$3.14Jun 15, 04:23 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$6.41Jun 15, 04:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?$3.03Jun 11, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USD reach 19,000 Indonesian rupiah by June 30?$5.16Jun 8, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$3.00May 29, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USD reach 19,000 Indonesian rupiah by June 30?$2.08May 29, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026?$7.03May 22, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: Other$1.04May 13, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$2.04May 13, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$2.00May 12, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$2.00May 12, 03:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $2.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 20, 08:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 08:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.