Trump posts himself as Jesus again in April?
Probability
3¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.4pp
24h Vol
$643.68
Liquidity
$15.3K
Probability (last 7 days)
-2.1pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 105h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $15.3k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 104.6h
- 15:26SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 105h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.7pp
to 2¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.8pp
to 2¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.6pp
to 2¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 2¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump posts an image on his official Truth Social account (@realDonaldTrump) depicting himself as Jesus Christ by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An image will be considered to depict Trump as Jesus Christ if it reasonably depicts Trump as Christ, including through accompanying text, recognizable iconography (e.g. a halo, crucifix, wearing robes with divine light emanating from his body), or other contextual elements commonly understood to indicate a depiction of Jesus Christ. Confirmation from Donald Trump that a posted image depicts Trump as Christ is not required. For example, the image posted by Trump on April 12, 2026, would have counted. The primary resolution source for this market will be images posted on Donald Trump’s official Truth Social account (@realDonaldTrump).
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Apr 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
Alerts
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