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PoliticsExpires Apr 30, 2026

Trump posts himself as Jesus again in April?

Probability

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+0.4pp

24h Vol

$643.68

Liquidity

$15.3K

Probability (last 7 days)

-2.1pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 18:00Apr 25, 2026, 15:26
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  1. 1

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 105h with open resolution ambiguity.

  2. 2

    Thin liquidity

    Only $15.3k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 104.6h

    LOW
  • 15:26Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 105h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 18:00Price

    Probability down -3.7pp

    to 2¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability down -3.8pp

    to 2¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability down -3.6pp

    to 2¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 2¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump posts an image on his official Truth Social account (@realDonaldTrump) depicting himself as Jesus Christ by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An image will be considered to depict Trump as Jesus Christ if it reasonably depicts Trump as Christ, including through accompanying text, recognizable iconography (e.g. a halo, crucifix, wearing robes with divine light emanating from his body), or other contextual elements commonly understood to indicate a depiction of Jesus Christ. Confirmation from Donald Trump that a posted image depicts Trump as Christ is not required. For example, the image posted by Trump on April 12, 2026, would have counted. The primary resolution source for this market will be images posted on Donald Trump’s official Truth Social account (@realDonaldTrump).

Resolution & Risk

MEDIUM risk
End date
Apr 30, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Binary
  • No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
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