Ecstatic-Harvest
0x608f1dc8f23c5840e78d5e87cbe8cd7161869065
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$234.87
Total PnL
$-319.74
Realised
$-3.80
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- NO
Will Frank Chikane be the next mayor of Johannesburg?
50 shares @ 80.9¢·now 62.4¢·exp Nov 5, 2026$31.18
$-9.28
- YES
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?
50 shares @ 75.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$25.25
$-12.25
- YES
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $60B by December 31?
50 shares @ 74.0¢·now 46.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$23.00
$-14.00
- YES
Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?
50 shares @ 65.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Nov 5, 2026$21.75
$-10.75
- NO
Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026?
50 shares @ 58.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Feb 12, 2027$18.25
$-10.75
- YES
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?
100 shares @ 34.5¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$17.50
$-17.00
- YES
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?
50 shares @ 46.0¢·now 34.8¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$17.42
$-5.58
- NO
Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026?
50 shares @ 36.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.75
$-6.25
- YES
Will jL appear as an analyst at an S-Tier CS tournament in 2026?
50 shares @ 64.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.25
$-20.75
- NO
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
20 shares @ 65.0¢·now 56.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.20
$-1.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?$13.00Jul 29, 02:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?$0.00Jul 29, 01:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Victor Marx win the Colorado Republican Governor primary by less than 1%?$0.00Jul 29, 01:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?$12.03Jul 29, 01:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?$27.38Jul 29, 01:36 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.82Jul 29, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$59.24Jul 29, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?$31.50Jul 28, 21:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$37.00Jul 28, 18:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Supreme Court" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$20.00Jul 28, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$37.00Jul 28, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Supreme Court" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$20.00Jul 28, 15:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?$37.54Jul 28, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?$42.00Jul 28, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$12.00Jul 28, 13:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?$7.13Jul 28, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?$7.37Jul 28, 13:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$3.07Jul 28, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$3.17Jul 28, 12:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spirit Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?$25.50Jul 28, 11:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $17.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 18:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 02:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.