Major-Effective
0x6098e46365b30f0641de80c5978838178ecc8d9f
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$55.28
Total PnL
$-24.62
Realised
$-1.99
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
48 shares @ 59.2¢·now 37.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$17.71
$-10.63
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
13 shares @ 76.0¢·now 51.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.51
$-3.19
- NO
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
11 shares @ 74.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.46
$-2.54
- YES
Over $1.2B crypto hack value in 2026?
7 shares @ 80.0¢·now 81.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.46
$0.07
- NO
Kash Patel out by December 31?
12 shares @ 31.6¢·now 46.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.40
$1.69
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
21 shares @ 24.0¢·now 20.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.17
$-0.83
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
14 shares @ 25.5¢·now 23.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.26
$-0.32
- NO
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
5 shares @ 54.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.65
$0.12
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
6 shares @ 34.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.83
$-0.14
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
8 shares @ 29.6¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.51
$-0.91
Recent activity
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner$1.96Jun 13, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner$1.13Jun 13, 18:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$1.13Jun 13, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$12.00Jun 12, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?$1.00Jun 9, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?$1.00Jun 9, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMSpurs vs. Knicks$2.79Jun 9, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Knicks$1.33Jun 8, 14:45 UTC
- TRADESELLSpurs vs. Knicks$1.33Jun 8, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Knicks$1.40Jun 8, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2$1.02Jun 8, 14:16 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2$2.41Jun 8, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2$1.75Jun 8, 13:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.75Jun 8, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$1.42Jun 7, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?$8.00Jun 7, 00:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$9.43Jun 6, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$9.70Jun 5, 13:20 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$8.70Jun 5, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$2.53Jun 3, 10:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $4.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 26, 23:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 21:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.