Major-Effective
0x6098e46365b30f0641de80c5978838178ecc8d9f
active
Quality score
79/100
Open positions
7
Open notional
$26.59
Total PnL
$-0.17
Realised
$-0.22
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
17 shares @ 59.3¢·now 56.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.53
$-0.47
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
10 shares @ 64.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.54
$0.25
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
4 shares @ 76.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$3.57
$0.24
- YES
Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
5 shares @ 64.0¢·now 61.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$2.82
$-0.14
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
6 shares @ 32.0¢·now 33.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.06
$0.06
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
7 shares @ 24.2¢·now 26.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.70
$0.12
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
5 shares @ 7.7¢·now 7.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.38
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$3.331h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?$3.331h ago
- REDEEMLoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$0.003h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?$2.913h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?$2.913h ago
- TRADEBUYLoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$1.137h ago
- TRADESELLLoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner$1.127h ago
- TRADEBUYLoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner$2.037h ago
- TRADESELLLoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner$2.047h ago
- TRADEBUYLoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner$2.098h ago
- TRADESELLDota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs$0.098h ago
- TRADEBUYDota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs$1.009h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?$1.789h ago
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?$2.009h ago
- YIELD$0.0017h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$3.0022h ago
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by end of 2026?$9.7822h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.391d ago
- TRADESELLWill Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.361d ago
- YIELD$0.002d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $2.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 17d ago
- Last active
- 1h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.