Elated-Twig
0x60ca43346859d30ec0ad0af518056896359611e6
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
42
Open notional
$40.07
Total PnL
$-515.87
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- NO
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?
9 shares @ 88.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.94
$0.04
- YES
Will Juanma Moreno be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?
5 shares @ 96.7¢·now 99.1¢·exp May 17, 2026$5.11
$0.12
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
3 shares @ 96.3¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.70
$0.05
- NO
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
3 shares @ 96.5¢·now 99.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$2.54
$0.09
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
3 shares @ 86.0¢·now 93.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.52
$0.19
- NO
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2 shares @ 98.1¢·now 98.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.46
$0.01
- NO
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 95.2¢·now 98.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.26
$0.08
- NO
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
2 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.03
$0.03
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
2 shares @ 90.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.90
$-0.10
- NO
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
2 shares @ 95.0¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.73
$0.07
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $90 in June?$1.00May 30, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?$7.94May 30, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.23May 28, 03:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on May 18?$1.07May 22, 04:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Colby Donaldson win Survivor Season 50?$2.10May 21, 06:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jonathan Young win Survivor Season 50?$1.62May 21, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 950 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?$1.63May 19, 08:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill monthly inflation increase by 0.9% in April?$1.22May 19, 08:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?$1.72May 19, 08:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$1.83May 19, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on May 18?$1.04May 17, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.28May 17, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juanma Moreno be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?$5.00Apr 21, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?$1.02Apr 18, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill monthly inflation increase by 0.9% in April?$1.20Apr 18, 08:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Detroit Red Wings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$1.08Apr 18, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?$1.63Apr 12, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$1.74Apr 10, 07:06 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - April 5, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$37.13Apr 5, 08:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$0.00Apr 5, 08:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $16.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 5, 04:48 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 09:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".