Functional-Serval
0x60dba19514fd79bcc560fa10442b0d005aa75b6b
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$45.33
Total PnL
$-1.96
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
10 shares @ 96.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.00
$0.31
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 86.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$9.45
$0.85
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
4 shares @ 97.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.10
$0.10
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
4 shares @ 97.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.10
$0.10
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 75.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.50
$0.50
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.30
$0.30
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
4 shares @ 74.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.26
$0.26
- NO
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.23
$0.23
- NO
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.23
$0.23
- NO
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
1 shares @ 74.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.17
$0.17
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$4.81Jun 30, 08:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$4.95Jun 30, 08:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$4.95Jun 30, 08:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$4.96Jun 30, 08:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$8.90Jun 30, 08:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?$8.77Jun 30, 08:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
15 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $5.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 06:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.