Sorrowful-Pantology
0x60fc80c41e2b2b215506d2e47215aceb03a5a72f
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$1.0K
Total PnL
$1.68
Realised
$66.76
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 73.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$365.25
$115.25
- NO
Will Blagomir Kotsev win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
358 shares @ 87.5¢·now 99.9¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$357.46
$44.03
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
644 shares @ 43.9¢·now 27.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$173.56
$-109.43
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
50 shares @ 21.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$30.75
$20.25
- NO
Will Nikolai Denkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
31 shares @ 74.0¢·now 98.4¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$30.50
$7.56
- NO
Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?
23 shares @ 68.5¢·now 89.6¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$20.42
$4.83
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
21 shares @ 71.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.64
$5.04
- YES
5kt meteor strike in 2026?
20 shares @ 42.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.30
$-3.10
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
30 shares @ 16.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.65
$-3.13
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
30 shares @ 10.3¢·now 4.0¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$1.22
$-1.88
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.05Jul 29, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 26, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 25, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 24, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 23, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 21, 20:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 19, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 15, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 10, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.