Klutzy-Tuneup
0x60fe9d72dbbe4cb1283db4a3c23a642e0a964478
Wallet digest
Activity score
38/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
148
Open notional
$4.82
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$-231.19
Win rate
1%
141 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 148- YES
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
43 shares @ 11.5¢·now 7.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$3.07
$-1.93
- YES
Will Cătălin Drulă be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.50
$0.50
- YES
Will Pedri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.25
$-0.75
- YES
Will Warren Hamm win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?
1925 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will LeBron James play for the New Orleans Pelicans in 2026-27?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will LeBron James play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 15?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will LeBron James play for the Utah Jazz in 2026-27?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will LeBron James play for the Sacramento Kings in 2026-27?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$1.07Aug 9, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$1.07Aug 9, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$2.12Aug 9, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$5.22Jul 24, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Remco Evenepoel win the 2026 Tour De France?$5.24Jul 23, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paul Seixas win the 2026 Tour De France?$2.10Jul 23, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pedri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$1.05Jul 20, 20:10 UTC
- REDEEMKylian Mbappé: 2+ goals$50.00Jul 18, 23:20 UTC
- REDEEMKylian Mbappé: 1+ goals$90.91Jul 18, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYKylian Mbappé: 2+ goals$10.40Jul 18, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYKylian Mbappé: 1+ goals$51.12Jul 18, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: Team to Win$121.92Jul 18, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$1.07Jul 16, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$1.07Jul 16, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?$1.05Jul 11, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?$1.05Jul 11, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Atlanta Hawks in 2026-27?$1.05Jul 11, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Brooklyn Nets in 2026-27?$1.05Jul 11, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Indiana Pacers in 2026-27?$1.05Jul 11, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Milwaukee Bucks in 2026-27?$1.05Jul 11, 07:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
52/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
1% win rate over 141 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
141 closed markets, 1% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $22.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 4, 00:17 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 9, 14:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 141 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.