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SportsMulti-outcomeExpires Nov 1, 2026

Will LeBron James play for the Sacramento Kings in 2026-27?

Probability

16¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-6.3pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$156.59

Probability (last 7 days)

+11.4pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 18:00Apr 25, 2026, 16:04
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Down 6pp over 24h

    Now 16¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 4544h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 31.2¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 4543.9h

    LOW
  • 16:04Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 4544h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 16:04Price

    Probability up 14.7pp

    to 16¢

    MEDIUM
  • 15:00Price

    Probability up 14.7pp

    to 16¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability up 17.5pp

    to 19¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability up 21.8pp

    to 23¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability up 21.3pp

    to 22¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability up 38.8pp

    to 40¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability up 39.8pp

    to 41¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability up 40.9pp

    to 42¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability up 20.5pp

    to 22¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability up 20.9pp

    to 22¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability up 20.3pp

    to 21¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability up 21.1pp

    to 22¢

    MEDIUM
  • 23:00Price

    Probability up 36.4pp

    to 37¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability up 40.3pp

    to 41¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability up 21.1pp

    to 22¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability up 20.8pp

    to 22¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability up 19.3pp

    to 20¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 21.1pp

    to 22¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 41.0pp

    to 42¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 33.0pp

    to 34¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 15.3pp

    to 16¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 14.5pp

    to 16¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 9.0pp

    to 10¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 9.0pp

    to 10¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 9.1pp

    to 10¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 9.0pp

    to 10¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 9.0pp

    to 10¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 9.0pp

    to 10¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to the next team LeBron James officially joins by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If LeBron James does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Los Angeles Lakers”. If LeBron James joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”. If LeBron James retires or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. An official acquisition announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the Los Angeles Lakers and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.

Resolution & Risk

MEDIUM risk
End date
Nov 1, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
  • No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
  • Wide spread (31.2¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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