Tough-Butcher
0x610d7c7bc507793cf55fb497d2620cc09d236c37
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
92
Open notional
$11.47
Total PnL
$-732.29
Realised
$-4.79
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 92- NO
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
10 shares @ 92.0¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$10.29
$0.66
- YES
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
91 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.82
$-19.14
- YES
Will Maddox Dagenais be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
358 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.18
$-3.52
- YES
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for Seattle Sounders FC next?
47 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.3¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$0.14
$-1.19
- YES
Will Spencer Pratt win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election?
91 shares @ 21.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.05
$-19.66
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
1000 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-9.56
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
530 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.07
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 25?
159 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-9.52
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 25?
148 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.36
- YES
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by May 31?
125 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.01
Recent activity
- REDEEMKnicks vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5$14.96Jun 14, 04:07 UTC
- REDEEMBrazil vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5$10.58Jun 14, 01:07 UTC
- REDEEMBrazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5$11.20Jun 14, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5$9.89Jun 13, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5$9.76Jun 13, 22:10 UTC
- REDEEMQatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5$11.90Jun 13, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYQatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5$9.81Jun 13, 20:20 UTC
- REDEEMUnited States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5$10.89Jun 13, 04:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5$9.62Jun 13, 01:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?$31.27Jun 13, 00:07 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?$8.50Jun 12, 22:07 UTC
- REDEEMCanada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5$11.90Jun 12, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina?$3.39Jun 12, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina?$4.25Jun 12, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina?$2.35Jun 12, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?$0.54Jun 12, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5$9.69Jun 12, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?$2.52Jun 12, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina?$2.48Jun 12, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?$9.89Jun 12, 19:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $9.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 20:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 04:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.