Confused-Facsimile
0x612085c74b0affae6867ba0ba4c769fc8e423994
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$1.45
Total PnL
$-4.74
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 27?
1 shares @ 82.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$1.21
$0.21
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.25
$-0.75
- YES
Iran leadership change by May 31?
15 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 27?$1.00Apr 24, 18:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel take military action in Gaza on April 7, 2026?$3.80Apr 7, 18:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?$7.00Apr 7, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?$3.95Apr 7, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?$3.95Apr 7, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by May 31?$3.00Apr 7, 04:33 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30?$0.41Apr 6, 21:49 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?$23.65Apr 6, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?$20.50Apr 6, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel take military action in Gaza on April 7, 2026?$11.60Apr 6, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?$1.00Apr 6, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1.00Apr 6, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30?$1.00Apr 5, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?$1.20Apr 5, 17:01 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$2.00Apr 5, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$20.00Apr 2, 00:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 31, 2026?$104.92Apr 1, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 31, 2026?$103.42Mar 31, 20:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$0.63Mar 31, 20:28 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$94.60Mar 29, 19:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $22.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 15, 19:20 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 24, 18:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.