Black-And-White-Adjective
0x612d8534fb41c0500b4d8a9cd32431bc07373fd1
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
5
Open notional
$667.95
Total PnL
$212.84
Realised
$-60.79
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will ForecastEx self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?
418 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$418.00
$129.58
- NO
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?
242 shares @ 18.7¢·now 54.4¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$131.65
$86.39
- NO
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
115 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$115.00
$58.65
- YES
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?
22 shares @ 15.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.31
$-0.99
- NO
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.99
$0.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Debi Tirar Mas Fotos by Bad Bunny be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of February 28?$0.00Jun 17, 22:00 UTC
- REDEEMUp Only podcast released by February 28, 2026?$0.00Jun 17, 22:00 UTC
- REDEEMNamed storm forms before hurricane season?$0.00Jun 17, 22:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Cuba" during the State of the Union address?$0.00Jun 17, 22:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Frankenstein win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.00Jun 17, 22:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total number of TSA passengers for January 31 be less than 2,000,000?$0.00Jun 17, 22:00 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - February 15, 11AM ET$0.00Jun 17, 22:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?$0.00Jun 17, 22:00 UTC
- REDEEMBulls vs. Heat$0.00Jun 17, 22:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill JD Vance say "Illegal" during the fundraiser?$0.00Jun 17, 22:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$0.00Jun 17, 22:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?$0.00Jun 17, 22:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Seoul have between 55-60mm of precipitation in April?$0.00Jun 17, 22:00 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 16, 5AM ET$0.00Jun 17, 22:00 UTC
- REDEEMSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins$360.50Jun 17, 22:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 18, 2026?$0.00Jun 17, 22:00 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 11, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$0.00Jun 17, 22:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Juárez win on 2026-02-22?$0.00Jun 17, 22:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?$407.07Jun 15, 13:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Seoul have between 55-60mm of precipitation in April?$0.54Apr 27, 09:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $256.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 13, 09:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 17, 22:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.