Disloyal-Hunt
0x615cc105a4231c100fe6f72dd93fd807ea07da6b
Wallet digest
Activity score
37/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
34
Open notional
$4.00
Total PnL
$-177.79
Realised
$-1.30
Win rate
0%
30 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?
17 shares @ 30.0¢·now 24.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
385 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
36 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- KT ROLSTER
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI
30 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
30 shares @ 40.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will Ecuador be the worst-placed South American nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
22 shares @ 36.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?
20 shares @ 24.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?
13 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?
12 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? $2.67Jul 20, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Morocco 3 - 2 Haiti?$1.02Jun 24, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Panama 0 - 0 Croatia?$1.02Jun 23, 23:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw?$2.04Jun 23, 23:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill England vs. Ghana end in a draw?$6.67Jun 23, 22:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$4.84Jun 22, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Uruguay 2 - 1 Cabo Verde?$1.02Jun 21, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$1.53Jun 21, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Uruguay 1 - 1 Cabo Verde?$1.02Jun 21, 22:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?$3.45Jun 21, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador be the worst-placed South American nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.09Jun 21, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador be the worst-placed South American nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.06Jun 21, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?$2.03Jun 21, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?$1.02Jun 20, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win on 2026-06-25?$2.04Jun 20, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?$1.53Jun 20, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw?$1.53Jun 20, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England vs. Ghana end in a draw?$1.03Jun 20, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?$1.02Jun 20, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?$1.02Jun 20, 04:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
51/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 30 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
30 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $1.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 01:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 21:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 30 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.