Lighthearted-Distribution
0x61c41271d1561dd4a288cd8b5d747290bff57696
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$-172.51
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
404 shares @ 80.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-325.22
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on February 24?
340 shares @ 88.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on February 23?
129 shares @ 38.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
109 shares @ 96.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-105.37
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 25?
102 shares @ 97.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 24?
100 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-74.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on February 20?
94 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on February 24?
83 shares @ 60.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-49.74
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on February 21?
48 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-20.64
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 4?
26 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?$2.11May 20, 01:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?$2.00May 18, 10:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 4?$10.87Mar 5, 01:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 4?$11.63Mar 5, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 4?$10.00Mar 4, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 4?$10.00Mar 4, 05:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 4?$6.61Mar 4, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 4?$10.00Mar 4, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 4?$5.00Mar 4, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 4?$10.00Mar 4, 01:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 1?$11.11Mar 2, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 1?$10.00Mar 1, 15:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?$58.36Mar 1, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$104.37Feb 28, 06:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 27?$104.36Feb 28, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$170.52Feb 27, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 27?$100.00Feb 27, 14:17 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?$217.39Feb 27, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$54.60Feb 26, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$100.10Feb 26, 01:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $56.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 24, 02:20 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 01:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".