Able-Helium
0x61d73af601e1afd1e16497defa631a5d19edce1c
Wallet digest
Activity score
32/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-189.32
Realised
$2.19
Win rate
4%
115 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Jack Draper win the 2026 Men's French Open?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Alejandro Davidovich Fokina win the 2026 Men's French Open?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate after the May decision?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Grigor Dimitrov win the 2026 Men's French Open?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Hubert Hurkacz win the 2026 Men's French Open?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 25?$15.00Jul 27, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 25?$0.45Jul 25, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C on July 25?$0.07Jul 25, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C on July 25?$0.10Jul 25, 03:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 25?$0.90Jul 25, 03:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 25?$0.90Jul 25, 03:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 25?$0.90Jul 25, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 25?$0.94Jul 24, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 25?$4.30Jul 24, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 25?$4.30Jul 24, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 25?$4.30Jul 24, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 25?$4.30Jul 24, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 25?$4.30Jul 24, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on July 25?$0.49Jul 24, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on July 25?$0.53Jul 24, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 25?$2.52Jul 24, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 25?$0.74Jul 24, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 25?$4.20Jul 24, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 25?$0.28Jul 24, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 25?$0.28Jul 24, 13:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
55/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
4% win rate over 115 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 23/100.
115 closed markets, 4% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $1.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 23, 07:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 27, 02:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 115 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.