Hefty-Backbone
0x61e971f3d3588f0fa52696c3590604912506b13a
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
61
Open notional
$4.3K
Total PnL
$-9.0K
Realised
$42.25
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 61- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
2300 shares @ 87.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.1K
$103.50
- NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
1134 shares @ 77.7¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.0K
$168.09
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?
700 shares @ 74.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$623.00
$105.00
- YES
Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
300 shares @ 46.8¢·now 59.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$178.80
$38.40
- NO
Will Jean Silva be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
179 shares @ 73.5¢·now 93.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$167.63
$36.05
- NO
Will Jack Della Maddalena become UFC champion in 2026?
50 shares @ 65.3¢·now 98.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$49.15
$16.52
- YES
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship?
100 shares @ 33.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$33.50
$0.50
- NO
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau breakup before August?
23 shares @ 80.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$22.87
$4.47
- YES
Will Alexander Volkanovski be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
21 shares @ 52.7¢·now 50.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.61
$-0.46
- NO
Will Arman Tsarukyan fight Charles Oliveira next?
50 shares @ 46.8¢·now 16.4¢·exp Mar 1, 2027$8.15
$-15.12
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.28Jul 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.28Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.28Jul 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.28Jul 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.28Jul 25, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.28Jul 24, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.28Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.28Jul 22, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.28Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$719.99Jul 20, 01:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.32Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.31Jul 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.31Jul 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.31Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.31Jul 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.29Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$1.04Jul 15, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.29Jul 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.29Jul 13, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$314.98Jul 12, 04:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
7 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $187.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 26, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.