Flimsy-Zero
0x62415dde4599981035d60443dc054c5d035a82b2
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
111
Open notional
$161.66
Total PnL
$-10.4K
Realised
$21.51
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 111- NO
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
118 shares @ 83.1¢·now 87.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$102.69
$4.60
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
101 shares @ 45.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$49.90
$4.54
- YES
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
567 shares @ 5.0¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$9.07
$-19.18
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
7977 shares @ 41.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.3K
- NO
Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025?
7298 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-7.30
- YES
Will Elon Musk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
4000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
2000 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-820.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
1660 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-94.30
- NO
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?
1619 shares @ 18.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-297.99
- YES
Will PRO hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
1398 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-7.84
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$46.36Jun 11, 05:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$45.78Jun 11, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$3.11Jun 10, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$62.28Jun 10, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$51.90Jun 10, 12:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$117.21Jun 10, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$122.78Jun 10, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$6.68Jun 10, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$92.03Jun 10, 09:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?$358.30Apr 17, 06:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$38.20Apr 17, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by December 31?$104.02Apr 4, 15:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?$104.02Apr 4, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$30.41Apr 1, 13:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?$30.41Apr 1, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?$27.37Mar 31, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$820.00Mar 31, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$14.00Mar 31, 14:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?$861.37Mar 31, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$1.3KMar 24, 16:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $324.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 9, 18:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 05:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.