Salty-Bourgeoisie
0x6245247bf6bee04694b407cffebd65f1790d2ac1
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
53
Open notional
$45.47
Total PnL
$-331.13
Realised
$0.32
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 53- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
13 shares @ 80.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.81
$1.81
- NO
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?
11 shares @ 90.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.61
$0.61
- NO
5kt meteor strike in 2026?
11 shares @ 53.2¢·now 73.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.24
$2.24
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
5 shares @ 95.5¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.13
$0.13
- YES
Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
51 shares @ 17.5¢·now 8.5¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$4.36
$-4.61
- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
50 shares @ 10.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.25
$-0.75
- NO
Human moon landing in 2026?
1 shares @ 93.1¢·now 99.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on February 23?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
601 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 90m?
185 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-35.15
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$2.54Jul 10, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?$4.08Apr 27, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?$0.87Apr 27, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?$5.15Apr 27, 07:23 UTC
- REWARD$1.25Apr 25, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?$12.74Apr 24, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?$4.92Apr 24, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?$59.07Apr 24, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m?$9.45Apr 12, 06:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m?$55.00Apr 7, 11:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?$3.75Apr 6, 11:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$2.20Apr 2, 18:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Hoppers" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 26m?$0.00Mar 30, 08:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 80m?$0.00Mar 30, 08:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 65m?$0.00Mar 30, 08:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 23?$0.00Mar 30, 08:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 23?$0.00Mar 25, 12:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Addams Family" be the top US Netflix movie this week?$0.00Mar 25, 12:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 23?$7.00Mar 24, 12:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Ready or Not 2: Here I Come" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8.5m and 10m?$43.00Mar 24, 12:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $6.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 13, 06:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 15:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.