Funny-Sort
0x62ba237148edab02f8128141c2ce111a771b569b
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$160.58
Total PnL
$-4.3K
Realised
$-187.00
Win rate
67%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
156 shares @ 46.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$155.51
$83.57
- YES
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
188 shares @ 4.5¢·now 2.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.32
$-4.13
- YES
Will Waymo have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
439 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.22
$-1.34
- YES
Will Revolut have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
338 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.17
$-0.99
- YES
Will Kraken have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
296 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.15
$-0.84
- YES
Will Perplexity AI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.13
$-0.88
- YES
Will SHEIN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
189 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.09
$-1.04
- YES
Netanyahu out by March 31?
15491 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-137.75
- YES
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
10629 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-309.20
- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
7487 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-48.10
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.11Apr 28, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.00Apr 27, 18:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$9.03Apr 27, 18:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$0.21Apr 27, 18:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$10.50Apr 27, 18:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$0.26Apr 27, 18:25 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 15?$10.00Apr 27, 16:22 UTC
- MERGEWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.0KApr 27, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$2.00Apr 27, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$2.00Apr 27, 16:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$12.00Apr 27, 16:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$5.66Apr 27, 16:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Apr 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Apr 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Apr 25, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Apr 24, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Apr 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Apr 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Apr 21, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Apr 20, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $14.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 14, 13:23 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 28, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.