Defenseless-Steeple
0x62f677f30080cc01966d18e15d09702a1584f10e
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$32.00
Total PnL
$-20.64
Realised
$-0.28
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
14 shares @ 74.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.42
$1.42
- NO
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
9 shares @ 70.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.24
$1.24
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
6 shares @ 85.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.50
$-1.50
- NO
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 88.0¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.37
$0.37
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
4 shares @ 82.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.22
$-0.14
- YES
Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?
5 shares @ 65.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Aug 30, 2026$2.28
$-0.72
- NO
Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.96
$-0.04
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
15 shares @ 75.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
7 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$5.00Jun 11, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYIcelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?$3.04Jun 11, 06:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$0.90Jun 10, 04:01 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$2.50Jun 10, 04:01 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$2.35Jun 2, 04:03 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$4.94May 24, 04:54 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$9.57May 13, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$2.00May 9, 20:38 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strike on Damascus by July 31?$0.00May 9, 08:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Lebanon on November 5?$0.00May 9, 08:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Lebanon on November 2?$0.00May 9, 08:31 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$0.00May 9, 08:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Lebanon on November 3?$0.00May 9, 08:31 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: Russian Capture Edition$0.00May 9, 08:31 UTC
- REDEEMTrump strikes another drug boat by Oct 31?$0.00May 9, 08:31 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$0.00May 9, 08:31 UTC
- REDEEMTrump trade deal before August?$0.00May 9, 08:31 UTC
- REDEEMFordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?$0.00May 9, 08:31 UTC
- REDEEMNorth Korea missile launch by November 15?$0.00May 9, 08:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Gaza on November 3?$0.00May 9, 08:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $3.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 06:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 06:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.