0x62fa6622e34645b50d2452b5ca773018e73366c0
0x62fa6622e34645b50d2452b5ca773018e73366c0
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$21.01
Total PnL
$-13.93
Realised
$-0.38
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 95.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$5.01
$0.21
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
5 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$5.00
$0.45
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
5 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.00
$0.45
- SENATORS
Panthers vs. Senators
5 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$5.00
$0.35
- NO
Will there be between 14 and 17 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$1.00
$0.02
- YES
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
778 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.11
- TIMBERWOLVES
Timberwolves vs. Magic
23 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-7.67
- CINCINNATI REDS
Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins
7 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.37
- PITTSBURGH PIRATES
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
6 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.90
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYPanthers vs. Senators$4.65Apr 9, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$4.55Apr 9, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$4.80Apr 9, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$4.55Apr 9, 23:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$4.68Apr 9, 23:24 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?$13.20Apr 9, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$4.80Apr 9, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins$1.40Apr 9, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?$4.55Apr 9, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?$4.55Apr 9, 00:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$3.05Apr 9, 00:30 UTC
- TRADESELLThunder vs. Clippers$3.84Apr 9, 00:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$1.04Apr 9, 00:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$8.99Apr 9, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?$4.55Apr 9, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$1.10Apr 9, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.11Apr 9, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$2.94Apr 8, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Clippers$5.10Apr 8, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. Magic$7.82Apr 8, 08:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $8.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 6, 08:07 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 9, 23:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.