Conventional-Guide
0x6312737af8c3f5a5a2b6ba23c5d65236c049f94e
Quality score
81/100
Open positions
82
Open notional
$3.4K
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$36.36
Win rate
65%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 82- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
2600 shares @ 21.1¢·now 10.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$272.99
$-277.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
1021 shares @ 32.4¢·now 25.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$260.36
$-70.89
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
700 shares @ 32.1¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$220.50
$-4.50
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
2300 shares @ 9.8¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$195.46
$-30.89
- YES
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
1800 shares @ 15.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$171.00
$-99.00
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?
1005 shares @ 17.1¢·now 16.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$160.87
$-10.59
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
400 shares @ 39.0¢·now 39.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$157.00
$1.10
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
1820 shares @ 14.9¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$136.50
$-134.62
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
200 shares @ 55.0¢·now 57.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$113.98
$3.98
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
905 shares @ 12.3¢·now 11.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$104.09
$-6.86
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.0514h ago
- REWARD$2.3514h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$63.1420h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$1.8622h ago
- TRADESELLWill Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$6.001d ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$79.001d ago
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?$81.341d ago
- YIELD$0.062d ago
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$39.952d ago
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$30.002d ago
- YIELD$0.063d ago
- REWARD$2.403d ago
- YIELD$0.054d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$21.504d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$5.004d ago
- TRADESELLWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,150 (HIGH) in June?$7.214d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$25.205d ago
- YIELD$0.055d ago
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$46.685d ago
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$13.005d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $40.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 9d ago
- Last active
- 14h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.