Conventional-Guide
0x6312737af8c3f5a5a2b6ba23c5d65236c049f94e
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
83
Open notional
$4.5K
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$268.03
Win rate
61%
31 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 83- YES
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
2000 shares @ 24.9¢·now 22.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$449.99
$-47.99
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
800 shares @ 40.5¢·now 51.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$412.00
$88.00
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1500 shares @ 18.2¢·now 15.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$225.72
$-47.04
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1500 shares @ 12.7¢·now 14.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$222.75
$32.86
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1500 shares @ 16.7¢·now 14.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$215.25
$-34.54
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
700 shares @ 54.5¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$185.46
$-195.78
- YES
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
300 shares @ 64.7¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$181.50
$-12.50
- YES
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
2730 shares @ 12.6¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$177.48
$-166.33
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
269 shares @ 27.3¢·now 64.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$172.16
$98.72
- YES
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
3000 shares @ 23.8¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$165.00
$-550.72
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$15.00Jun 14, 07:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$2.02Jun 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?$29.28Jun 13, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Saudi Arabia 0 - 2 Uruguay?$16.39Jun 13, 23:32 UTC
- REDEEMSpurs vs. Knicks$0.00Jun 13, 22:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$0.00Jun 13, 22:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Czechia win on 2026-06-11?$0.00Jun 13, 22:33 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$0.00Jun 13, 22:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?$0.00Jun 13, 22:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Barron Trump be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?$0.00Jun 13, 22:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Grimes be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?$0.00Jun 13, 22:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Vivian Wilson be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?$0.00Jun 13, 22:33 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael closes its airspace by June 11?$0.00Jun 13, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$0.81Jun 13, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$20.72Jun 13, 16:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$1.81Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$13.32Jun 12, 22:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?$2.00Jun 12, 21:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $37.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 07:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 07:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 31 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.