Apprehensive-Smolt
0x63569fadd285bb53fdecf8f3ac81d3c82496a4bc
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$16.79
Total PnL
$-7.29
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Hwang Kyo-ahn in jail by December 31?
4 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.94
$0.01
- NO
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by May 31?
2 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.35
$0.01
- NO
DOJ reopens Powell investigation by May 15?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.72
$0.01
- NO
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
2 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.65
$0.01
- NO
Will Jordan strike Iran by March 31?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.28
$0.01
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$1.24
$0.00
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.24
$0.00
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.18
$0.01
- NO
Will any European country expel a U.S. ambassador by March 31?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.14
$0.00
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$1.05
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by May 31?$2.34May 31, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYDOJ reopens Powell investigation by May 15?$1.71May 9, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$1.24Apr 30, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$1.64Apr 29, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$1.05Apr 28, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.24Apr 14, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan strike Iran by March 31?$1.27Mar 30, 00:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any European country expel a U.S. ambassador by March 31?$1.14Mar 29, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?$1.17Mar 29, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYHwang Kyo-ahn in jail by December 31?$2.00Dec 30, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYHwang Kyo-ahn in jail by December 31?$1.93Dec 30, 03:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$2.27Dec 30, 03:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$0.15Dec 9, 03:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$11.90Dec 9, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$12.05Dec 9, 03:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$0.99Dec 9, 01:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$10.16Dec 9, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$11.15Dec 9, 01:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.00Dec 8, 09:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$10.65Dec 8, 09:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $6.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 3, 03:56 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 03:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".