Known-Donation
0x6394f1c84f26bb7c05703c4c46bc3118d729ebc9
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$5.23
Total PnL
$-46.09
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026?
1034 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.55
$-9.45
- YES
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
42 shares @ 2.4¢·now 2.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.89
$-0.11
- YES
Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.75
$-0.25
- YES
Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.75
$-0.25
- YES
StandX FDV above $7B one day after launch?
51 shares @ 3.8¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.74
$-1.20
- YES
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
53 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.45
$-1.56
- YES
Will Microsoft acquire TikTok?
25 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.10
$-1.88
- YES
Will Comcast close Warner Bros acquisition?
1 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.2¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Robert Glatzel be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Bundesliga season?
1479 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.56
- YES
Will Mohamed Salah be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?
1189 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.18
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$2.06May 14, 16:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$2.12May 14, 16:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?$0.00May 14, 16:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?$1.27May 14, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft acquire TikTok?$1.98Apr 15, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?$1.00Apr 14, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUSD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?$1.00Apr 14, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.00Apr 14, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on April 14?$1.00Apr 14, 19:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kon Knueppel lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?$0.00Apr 14, 16:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zach Johnson win the 2026 Masters tournament?$0.00Apr 11, 15:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on April 9?$0.00Apr 11, 15:20 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by December 31?$0.00Apr 9, 04:11 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$0.00Apr 9, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by December 31?$1.00Apr 8, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$2.00Apr 8, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on April 9?$2.88Apr 8, 20:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on April 8?$0.00Apr 8, 19:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on April 8?$4.82Apr 8, 19:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 2PM ET$0.00Apr 8, 05:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $1.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 7, 04:23 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 16:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".