Afraid-Doughnut
0x63a24838a34a27a5f4a33f71197974e4eb5b3dfc
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$658.89
Total PnL
$-566.20
Realised
$4.83
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
903 shares @ 55.1¢·now 46.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$415.38
$-82.36
- YES
Databricks IPO before 2027?
715 shares @ 66.0¢·now 19.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$135.85
$-336.05
- NO
Will Chad Bianco advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
61 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$61.00
$13.42
- NO
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?
61 shares @ 15.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$46.66
$37.52
- YES
Will Medline's market cap be between $35B and $45B at market close on IPO day?
841 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-109.33
- YES
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?
387 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-92.88
- YES
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?
3 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.35
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill GNX (Kendrick Lamar) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$441.00May 25, 10:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US strike Somalia next?$731.00May 25, 10:15 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$20.00May 25, 10:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paul Mescal be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$95.00May 25, 10:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill PLN win the second most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?$148.00May 25, 10:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Apr 1, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Mar 31, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Mar 30, 00:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Mar 29, 00:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Mar 28, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Mar 27, 00:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Mar 26, 00:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Mar 25, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Mar 24, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Mar 23, 00:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Mar 22, 00:38 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Mar 21, 00:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Mar 20, 00:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Mar 19, 00:38 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Mar 18, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 16, 00:19 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 10:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.