Cavernous-Spleen
0x63d5837b32486a8eee0780407a0a13780eab0e91
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
45
Open notional
$8.98
Total PnL
$-81.72
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- YES
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
344 shares @ 1.5¢·now 1.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.72
$1.72
- YES
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.65
$-0.35
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
37 shares @ 2.7¢·now 1.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.61
$-0.39
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
22 shares @ 4.5¢·now 2.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.46
$-0.54
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 6.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.44
$-0.56
- YES
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.11
$-0.89
- NO
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?
225 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will MicroStrategy be forced to liquidate Bitcoin holdings in 2025?
160 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Macron cocaine use confirmed?
120 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
95 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?$3.20May 31, 19:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 25, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 24, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 22, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 21, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 20, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 19, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$1.51May 17, 03:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$3.85May 17, 02:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $1.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 10, 00:50 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 19:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".