Vapid-Mechanic
0x63e30d708e4f5ad12581730e5fbaf0e53646f341
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
41
Open notional
$17.9K
Total PnL
$-2.2K
Realised
$415.58
Win rate
42%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- NO
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
10151 shares @ 71.9¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.9K
$1.6K
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
3075 shares @ 65.0¢·now 48.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.5K
$-524.15
- NO
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
2160 shares @ 64.8¢·now 63.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.4K
$-28.43
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
1307 shares @ 75.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.1K
$84.81
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
1760 shares @ 34.1¢·now 55.5¢·exp May 29, 2026$976.67
$376.68
- YES
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
3070 shares @ 21.2¢·now 28.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$861.02
$211.03
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?
1111 shares @ 54.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$772.15
$172.15
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
5266 shares @ 17.1¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$500.26
$-399.73
- YES
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
12289 shares @ 4.9¢·now 3.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$466.98
$-133.00
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
8026 shares @ 8.7¢·now 5.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$441.43
$-258.56
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$980.00Jun 13, 07:55 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$982.47Jun 13, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$51.47Jun 13, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$51.35Jun 13, 04:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.59Jun 13, 04:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?$400.00Jun 12, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1000.00Jun 12, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?$200.00Jun 12, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$500.00Jun 12, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$500.00Jun 12, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$400.00Jun 12, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$1.0KJun 11, 23:57 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$62.33Jun 11, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 11?$50.00Jun 10, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 10?$50.00Jun 9, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$100.00Jun 9, 16:54 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$4.2KJun 9, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$50.00Jun 9, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$200.00Jun 9, 07:37 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$253.24Jun 9, 07:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $541.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 7, 19:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 07:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.