0x6428e1679993b3b196677b1e170ee88c5213e9b9
0x6428e1679993b3b196677b1e170ee88c5213e9b9
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$20.43
Total PnL
$-37.16
Realised
$-2.95
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?
11 shares @ 64.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$11.20
$3.93
- NO
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
12 shares @ 51.3¢·now 50.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$6.03
$-0.07
- NO
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 90.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.20
$0.14
- YES
GTA VI released before June 2026?
511 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.21
- YES
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?
161 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.22
- YES
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?
36 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-0.39
- YES
Will a hurricane form by May 31?
29 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.23
- NO
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?
19 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
9 shares @ 58.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.48
- YES
Will Poland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.68
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill a hurricane form by May 31?$2.23Mar 11, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?$3.06Mar 11, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?$6.10Mar 11, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?$8.00Mar 11, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?$2.22Mar 11, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?$0.39Mar 11, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?$8.00Mar 10, 15:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?$7.47Mar 10, 04:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?$14.96Mar 10, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?$7.27Mar 10, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?$7.56Mar 10, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?$14.99Mar 10, 04:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?$10.05Mar 10, 04:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?$16.09Mar 10, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.24Mar 10, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Poland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.68Mar 10, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?$10.16Mar 9, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?$16.12Mar 9, 18:32 UTC
- TRADESELLNew Rihanna Album before GTA VI?$9.43Mar 8, 12:42 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?$9.61Mar 8, 12:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $6.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 7, 15:12 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 11, 18:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.