Scornful-Protein
0x643a5abe1699b7ca2dcb79b6e519f2146cf3b5e1
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$288.51
Total PnL
$-7.49
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?
264 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$263.92
$7.92
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
25 shares @ 97.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$24.59
$0.59
- YES
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
22 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?$24.00Jun 19, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?$256.31Jun 19, 08:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$28.96Jun 19, 08:15 UTC
- REDEEMUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$41.54Jun 19, 08:15 UTC
- REDEEMIran leadership change by May 31?$52.04Jun 19, 08:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?$160.08Jun 19, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by May 31?$51.00May 26, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$41.00May 26, 07:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?$12.29May 26, 07:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$7.88May 26, 07:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gillian Sherratt win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?$14.37May 26, 07:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$15.12May 26, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$22.51May 7, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$16.17May 7, 13:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?$21.54May 7, 13:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?$24.99May 7, 13:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$34.92May 7, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?$23.57Apr 24, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?$18.00Apr 22, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?$122.00Apr 22, 07:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $187.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 4, 11:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 19, 08:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.