Clueless-Proofreader
0x643a92035146976f18b5f0b0f42da46b99fc7d48
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-23.60
Realised
$-0.60
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 5PM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Sporting CP vs. Casa Pia AC end in a draw?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will FC Porto win on 2026-01-22?
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
13 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?
11 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will André Ventura win the first round by less than 2%?
11 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo win between 18% and 20% of votes in the first round?
8 shares @ 24.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will André Ventura win between 20% and 22% of votes in the first round?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo win more than 20% of votes in the first round?
6 shares @ 36.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the US strike Somalia next?
4 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$0.96Feb 2, 02:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$0.70Feb 2, 02:18 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 26?$26.00Jan 29, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 26?$13.00Jan 24, 10:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$1.44Jan 24, 10:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?$1.66Jan 24, 10:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$6.38Jan 24, 10:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 16, 2026?$1.07Jan 20, 14:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver hit 100 or Bitcoin hit 100k first?$2.41Jan 20, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$13.00Jan 18, 21:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill João Cotrim de Figueiredo qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$0.02Jan 18, 21:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill António José Seguro win the first round?$9.37Jan 18, 21:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill António José Seguro win more than 22% of votes in the first round?$2.55Jan 18, 21:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luís Marques Mendes win less than 16% of votes in the first round?$1.57Jan 18, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.04Jan 17, 14:16 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$1.13Jan 17, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver hit 100 or Bitcoin hit 100k first?$1.00Jan 17, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Somalia next?$1.00Jan 17, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Porto win on 2026-01-22?$10.00Jan 17, 05:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FC Porto win on 2026-01-22?$9.40Jan 17, 05:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $2.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 16, 04:24 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 2, 02:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.