Wide-Howard
0x6447bfbf2c56165d813933574fc6b5810c023aa3
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
71
Open notional
$1.0K
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$99.19
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 71- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
1475 shares @ 29.2¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$258.13
$-172.07
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
913 shares @ 41.5¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$214.48
$-164.55
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
606 shares @ 49.3¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$184.84
$-114.22
- YES
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?
2090 shares @ 17.2¢·now 7.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$152.57
$-207.43
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
1122 shares @ 18.2¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$95.38
$-109.22
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?
756 shares @ 13.2¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$56.73
$-43.27
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?
268 shares @ 24.2¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$30.84
$-34.16
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
432 shares @ 12.7¢·now 4.1¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$17.70
$-37.30
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
605 shares @ 2.1¢·now 2.1¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$12.41
$-0.59
- YES
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
143 shares @ 7.0¢·now 5.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$8.14
$-1.86
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.07Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 21, 20:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 19, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 16, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?$41.88Jul 15, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?$10.59Jul 15, 21:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 15, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?$10.49Jul 14, 15:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $2,250 by December 31, 2026?$9.64Jul 11, 09:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?$14.97Jul 11, 06:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 10, 00:10 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.45Jul 9, 21:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
15/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $47.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 28, 16:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.