Eager-Halibut
0x644f8498446ca1c20a8f7e910affe694d9c7b7ea
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$4.13
Total PnL
$-173.66
Realised
$-2.53
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?
12 shares @ 43.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.85
$-2.15
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $63 on the final trading day of June 2026?
28 shares @ 70.4¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.28
$-18.72
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 12PM ET
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6AM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Gold close between $4200 and $4300 at the end of 2025?
72 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Gold close between $4500 and $4600 at the end of 2025?
44 shares @ 45.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
43 shares @ 11.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
35 shares @ 25.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-8.98
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?
34 shares @ 29.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November?
22 shares @ 90.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?$6.33Apr 14, 18:08 UTC
- TRADESELLPrince Andrew sentenced to prison?$4.58Mar 20, 18:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?$12.63Mar 20, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?$5.00Mar 7, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 9?$5.00Mar 7, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?$10.00Mar 7, 14:34 UTC
- TRADESELLPacifica FDV above $800M one day after launch?$10.11Mar 7, 14:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$10.70Mar 7, 14:32 UTC
- TRADESELLBased FDV above $800M one day after launch?$20.36Mar 7, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) settle over $63 on the final trading day of June 2026?$20.00Mar 2, 10:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$11.11Mar 2, 10:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 23?$15.00Feb 23, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 23?$10.00Feb 22, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on February 22?$10.00Feb 21, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$10.00Feb 21, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$10.00Feb 21, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$10.00Feb 21, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYPrince Andrew sentenced to prison?$5.00Feb 21, 19:24 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?$16.56Feb 21, 19:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 19?$12.05Feb 21, 19:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $10.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 3, 21:02 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 14, 18:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.