Big-Hearted-Goose
0x645a45e99aa388ebf6157ed45ef96c60cb38e192
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$5.7K
Total PnL
$-701.82
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
400182 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.8K
$-599.87
- YES
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
147600 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.4K
$-73.80
- YES
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
45455 shares @ 1.1¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$477.27
$-22.68
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
156 shares @ 16.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.53
$-5.47
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.62May 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.64May 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.67May 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.67May 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.67May 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.20May 13, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$25.84May 12, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.9KMay 12, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$29.26May 12, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$337.40May 12, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$163.31May 12, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.0KMay 12, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$617.80May 12, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$514.83May 12, 16:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $825.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 16:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".