Misguided-Autoimmunity
0x646f15346418228fb8ae64c86794b32d268823c3
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$1.7K
Total PnL
$-3.0K
Realised
$-95.94
Win rate
33%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- ANTHROPIC
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
916 shares @ 66.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$673.26
$68.70
- NO
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
500 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$500.00
$0.50
- SPACEX
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
490 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$490.00
$151.90
- NO
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
18 shares @ 76.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.30
$1.62
- NO
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 88.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.89
$0.13
- YES
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
3 shares @ 22.0¢·now 34.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.02
$0.36
- NO
Will Bath win?
1881 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-921.69
- UNDER
Charlton Athletic FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 2.5
905 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-615.40
- OVER
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5
866 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-337.74
- NO
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 10 be between 2,000,000 and 2,200,000?
667 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-420.21
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?$0.50Apr 14, 09:53 UTC
- REDEEML.A. U-Haul attack perp charged with terrorism?$0.50Apr 14, 09:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Khamenei post 40-59 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$582.00Apr 14, 09:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hezbollah disarm by March 31?$783.00Apr 14, 09:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump post "Predict" or "Prediction" or "Predicted" on Truth Social this week?$197.20Apr 11, 18:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump post "Predict" or "Prediction" or "Predicted" on Truth Social this week?$300.44Apr 11, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "Predict" or "Prediction" or "Predicted" on Truth Social this week?$763.62Apr 10, 15:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?$52.92Apr 9, 14:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-04-17?$127.11Apr 9, 14:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Two weeks" this week? (April 12)$584.01Apr 9, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Two weeks" this week? (April 12)$382.13Apr 7, 12:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-04-17?$6.48Mar 31, 02:12 UTC
- TRADESELLPredict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?$349.60Mar 30, 16:06 UTC
- TRADESELLPredict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?$16.10Mar 30, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?$365.70Mar 29, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-04-17?$441.03Mar 29, 15:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026?$17.60Mar 26, 11:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026?$70.40Mar 26, 11:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026?$91.52Mar 26, 11:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026?$315.92Mar 26, 11:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $259.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 6, 12:45 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 14, 09:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.