Clear-Disarmament
0x64708458cfb6a57c6e74aca3db8f56aaa1c08fb9
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$14.92
Total PnL
$-9.08
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?
4 shares @ 24.0¢·now 51.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.12
$1.12
- NO
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 15?
1 shares @ 78.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$1.07
$0.07
- NO
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 93.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
1 shares @ 91.8¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by June 30?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
1 shares @ 95.8¢·now 95.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.00
$-0.00
- YES
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 84.4¢·now 84.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
1 shares @ 94.2¢·now 93.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$1.02Jun 2, 07:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Czechia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$1.04Jun 2, 07:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arthur Fils win the 2026 Men's French Open?$1.04Jun 2, 07:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.04Jun 2, 07:10 UTC
- REDEEMIran leadership change by May 31?$1.04Jun 2, 07:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$2.05Jun 2, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$1.00Jun 2, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jun 2, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by June 30?$1.00Jun 2, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYAziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?$1.01Jun 2, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYRevolut IPO before 2027?$1.00Jun 2, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYLedger IPO before 2027?$1.00Jun 2, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?$1.00Jun 2, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 15?$1.00Jun 2, 07:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?$1.03May 9, 08:44 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$1.03May 9, 08:44 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$1.11May 9, 08:44 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$1.15May 9, 08:44 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$6.40May 9, 08:44 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$6.57May 9, 08:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $1.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 06:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 07:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".