Stormy-Expert
0x64733ee8b0605d06ede183f77f34173ee758d4d2
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$70.75
Total PnL
$0.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
15 shares @ 48.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$8.32
$1.13
- NO
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
10 shares @ 31.0¢·now 79.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$7.90
$4.80
- NO
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?
9 shares @ 57.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$7.22
$2.29
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
13 shares @ 54.0¢·now 48.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$6.46
$-0.81
- NO
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
8 shares @ 76.0¢·now 77.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$6.08
$0.08
- YES
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
40 shares @ 20.0¢·now 14.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.60
$-2.40
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
9 shares @ 79.0¢·now 61.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.47
$-1.61
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
13 shares @ 46.0¢·now 43.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.38
$-0.38
- NO
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
14 shares @ 51.0¢·now 39.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.37
$-1.65
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
8 shares @ 61.0¢·now 58.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.73
$-0.24
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $620 Week of July 6 2026?$0.00Jul 7, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?$2.79Jul 7, 05:06 UTC
- REDEEMWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $68 on July 6?$0.00Jul 6, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $68 on July 6?$3.50Jul 6, 17:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.00Jul 6, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $620 Week of July 6 2026?$5.10Jul 6, 04:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?$0.00Jul 1, 06:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce Keith Sonderling as the next United States Labor Secretary$0.00Jun 30, 02:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $755 Week of June 22 2026?$8.65Jun 26, 20:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$6.38Jun 25, 18:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $144 Week of June 22 2026?$0.00Jun 24, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $144 Week of June 22 2026?$2.01Jun 24, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $755 Week of June 22 2026?$5.01Jun 23, 00:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $120 Week of June 22 2026?$7.00Jun 22, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $120 Week of June 22 2026?$2.44Jun 22, 02:14 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$0.00Jun 21, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?$1.45Jun 21, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$5.09Jun 20, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?$5.05Jun 19, 10:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$0.00Jun 19, 05:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
22 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $4.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 07:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 7, 19:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.